"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Novi Wildcats Playoff Chances 2015-2016 50/50
Did not play, playoff odds up 0.3 to 78.9%
1-1 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Grand Blanc 26 Walled Lake Western 4 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Salem vs Novi | -7.8-8.4+8.3+7.9 | -1.5-1.5+1.5+1.5 | ||
| Novi vs Milford | +7.7+7.0-7.9-7.7 | +1.4+1.2-1.4-1.4 | ||
| South Lyon vs Grand Blanc | -0.4*-0.5+1.4+0.4 | |||
| Wayne Memorial vs Brighton | +0.4*+0.1*-0.4-0.4 | -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Milford vs John Glenn | -0.3*+0.3*-0.1+0.3 | +0.0+0.1*-0.1-0.0 | ||
| Canton vs Wayne Memorial | -0.3*-0.3*-0.0+0.3 | -0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Walled Lake Central vs Pinckney | +0.3*+0.6*-0.3-0.3 | |||
| Howell vs Pinckney | +0.3*-0.4*+0.2-0.3 | -0.0*-0.1*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Lakeland vs Hartland | -0.3*+0.0*+0.2+0.3 | |||
| South Lyon vs South Lyon East | -0.3*-1.1*-0.1+0.3 | -0.0*-0.1-0.1+0.0 | ||
| Milford vs Hartland | -0.3*-0.0*-0.2+0.3 | |||
| Waterford Kettering vs Walled Lake Northern | -0.2*-0.8*-0.1+0.2 | -0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0 | ||
| South Lyon East vs Walled Lake Western | +0.2*+0.8*-0.3-0.2 | |||
| Waterford Mott vs Canton | -0.2*+0.2*+0.7+0.2 | -0.0*+0.1*+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Plymouth vs John Glenn | -0.2*-0.3*+0.3+0.2 | +0.0*-0.0*+0.1-0.0 | ||
| Grand Blanc vs Wayne Memorial | +0.0-0.0-0.2-0.0 | |||
| Hartland vs John Glenn | +0.0+0.1*+0.0-0.0 | |||
| Walled Lake Northern vs Howell | -0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0 | |||
| Waterford Kettering vs Northville | -0.0*+0.0*-0.1+0.0 | |||
| Salem vs Lakeland | -0.0*+0.1*+0.0+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Novi finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | Count | |||
| 14 | 13 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 367 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2,299 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 12 | 11 | - | 2 | In | 80 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 13,668 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 11 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 42 | 36 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 50,000 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 6 | 25 | 20 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 125,748 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 5 | In | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224,726 | |||||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 6 | In | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 300,567 | |||||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 7 | 99.5 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 301,195 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 8 | 50.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 226,416 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 9 | 2.1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 6 | 125,862 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 10 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 39 | 49,868 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 13,775 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 12 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 2,326 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 13 | Out | 0 | 100 | 323 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 78.9 | % | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1,437,140 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-11 11:41 AM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
