How are these numbers calculated?

## Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

 Week of 12/13 100.0* Chance in playoffs 100.0* Average seed Grand Blanc 26 Walled Lake Western 4 +0.4 If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway Wayne Memorial vs Brighton -4.8-4.8+9.3+9.5 -0.7-0.7+1.4+1.5 South Lyon vs South Lyon East -0.7-1.4+0.8+0.4 Howell vs Pinckney +0.4+0.9-1.2-1.0 Lakeland vs Hartland -1.1-1.0+0.7+0.5 Milford vs Hartland -0.9-1.0*-0.1+0.5 South Lyon vs Grand Blanc -0.9*-0.9*+0.3+0.3 Milford vs John Glenn -0.7*-0.9*+0.5+0.4 Canton vs Wayne Memorial -0.6*-0.1*+0.5+0.4 -0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0 Walled Lake Central vs Pinckney +0.3*+0.5*-0.8-0.6 Waterford Kettering vs Walled Lake Northern -0.5*-0.8*+0.1+0.3 -0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0 Salem vs Novi -0.3*+0.0*-0.2+0.2 -0.0+0.1*-0.1+0.0 Plymouth vs John Glenn -0.2*-0.4*-0.3+0.2 -0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.0 Howell vs Plymouth +0.2*+0.4*+0.1-0.2 Waterford Mott vs Canton -0.2*+0.1*-0.3+0.2 Walled Lake Central vs Plymouth +0.2*-0.4*-0.6-0.2 Waterford Kettering vs Northville +0.1*-0.1*-0.2-0.1 South Lyon East vs Walled Lake Western +0.1*-0.0*+0.5-0.2 -0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1 Salem vs Lakeland +0.1*+0.4*+0.4-0.1 -0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0 Novi vs Milford -0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

## What If

Chances based on how well the Brighton finish out the regular season.   Explain

 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 If finish: Chance in Chance will finish regular season at seed TW W - L playoffs 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 Count 14 13 - 0 In 89 11 0 785 13 12 - 1 In 50 43 5 2 0 3,523 12 11 - 2 In 15 46 25 11 2 0 0 24,714 11 10 - 3 In 1 14 39 17 20 8 1 0 0 106,704 10 9 - 4 In 0 1 17 3 16 28 23 10 2 0 0 306,941 9 8 - 5 In 0 2 0 0 4 15 29 29 16 5 1 0 0 627,339 8 7 - 6 100.0 % 0 0 0 1 8 21 31 25 11 2 0 0 0 940,575 7 6 - 7 98.8 0 0 0 3 12 27 31 19 6 1 0 0 1,043,222 6 5 - 8 60.4 0 0 1 7 20 32 26 11 2 0 0 853,633 5 4 - 9 6.0 0 0 1 5 19 34 30 10 1 512,680 4 3 - 10 0.1 0 0 1 8 31 45 16 218,413 3 2 - 11 Out 0 0 5 41 54 62,676 2 1 - 12 Out 0 16 84 10,752 1 0 - 13 Out 2 98 1,437 Total: 76.1 % 0 1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 9 8 8 7 6 5 4 2 4,713,394
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs