How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Carolina vs UNC-Greensboro+0.2+0.2*-0.1-0.2
+0.5+0.4-0.4-0.5
Chattanooga vs Furman-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0
East_Tennessee_State vs Wofford-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Western_Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1010-050.0%50504
22-0No6619501916
11-0No251338258
00-00.2014814192530632,736
0-2No625383116
0-1No1313131325258
0-10No1004
Total:0.2%014814192530632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title