"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
Gonzaga8-015-4.789.78952.3%-0.25223137310001.9-0.01.6005448+1Gonzaga Bulldogs
Pacific26-212-5.706.70613.1+0.31317202018831003.5+0.01.58541156+3Pacific Tigers
St_Marys6-213-6.684.68411.5-0.21120212015831003.5-0.01.5954-1151-1Saint Mary’s Gaels
San_Diego26-214-3.824.82411.4-0.11119212017831003.5.5622-172+1San Diego Toreros
BYU16-213-5.722.72211.4+0.31119212017831003.5.5603-875Brigham Young Cougars
San_Francisco23-510-7.588.5880.2-0.0013714272014956.5+0.01.5165-1136San Francisco Dons
Portland2-64-15.211.2110.0+0.00013715222117127.5.4428-9253-1Portland Pilots
Santa_Clara31-75-11.313.3130.0-0.0000138162023298.4.4649-3219Santa Clara Broncos
Loyola_Marymount1-73-16.158.1580.0-0.0000139152025278.3+0.01.4096-6293+1Loyola Marymount Lions
Pepperdine1-76-13.316.3160.0+0.0000138152125278.3-0.01.4981-2167-1Pepperdine Waves

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Arizona_State 70 Oregon 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
San_Diego*-0.0
Brown 69 Yale 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
San_Francisco*+0.0
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Portland*+0.0
Wichita_State 85 Illinois_State 38
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Santa_Clara*+0.0
DePaul 96 Creighton 71
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
St_Marys*+0.0
Washington 85 Colorado 82
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Santa_Clara*-0.0
Saturday
Pacific vs GonzagaIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Gonzaga39.740.964.465.0
2.22.21.61.6
Pacific21.120.25.35.2
3.03.14.04.0
St_Marys12.812.910.210.1
San_Diego13.113.310.29.7
3.63.63.53.5
BYU13.012.39.69.8
3.63.63.53.5
BYU vs San_DiegoHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
San_Diego5.96.516.216.8
4.04.03.13.0
BYU16.816.46.65.9
3.03.04.04.0
St_Marys vs PortlandHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Gonzaga50.450.554.354.3
1.91.91.91.8
Pacific12.512.1*13.813.7
3.63.63.53.5
St_Marys15.815.87.47.1
3.13.13.93.9
San_Diego10.510.5*11.812.3
3.63.63.53.5
BYU10.5*10.812.312.3
3.6*3.63.53.5
San_Francisco0.2*0.2*0.30.3
Portland7.97.97.17.1
Santa_Clara8.38.38.48.4
Loyola_Marymount8.38.38.48.4
Pepperdine8.38.38.48.4
Loyola_Marymount vs San_FranciscoHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
San_Francisco0.10.10.50.4
7.07.06.06.0
Loyola_Marymount7.97.98.78.8
Pepperdine vs Santa_ClaraHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Santa_Clara8.88.87.97.9
Pepperdine7.97.98.88.8

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.