California Davis Aggies Women’s Basketball 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, regular season title odds up 0.05 to 10.8%
3-2   7-9   .438

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Washington_State 63 Utah 54 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Long_Beach_State vs Cal_State_Northridge-1.1*-0.5+1.3+1.1
UC_Riverside vs Cal_Poly+0.6*+0.6*-0.3-0.6
UC_Irvine vs Hawaii+0.4*+0.7*-0.4-0.4
Cal_State_Fullerton vs UC_Santa_Barbara-0.4*-0.3*+0.3+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well UC_Davis finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1411-0Yes1004
52-08.3%88173382512
41-010.0101520205201020
30-010.8111415141311975632,720
0-1No1515552015151020
0-2No17817171717812
0-11No1004
Total:10.8%111415141311975632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title