Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

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Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
UConn27-017-1.944.94444.3%+0.0442515842100002.2.6764-105Connecticut Huskies
Tulane26-115-3.833.83321.5+0.12222211696311003.1.6073841Tulane Green Waves
USF16-115-4.789.78921.1-0.22126201385321003.1-0.01.6323-623South Florida Bulls
Temple5-27-13.350.3509.0+0.191519191510742104.1-0.01.4651-8217-2Temple Owls
East_Carolina14-413-6.684.6841.5+0.124813161614118526.0.5693-163+1East Carolina Pirates
Memphis23-49-9.500.5001.3-0.013691315151411846.6+0.03.5100-4151+2Memphis Tigers
Tulsa33-48-9.471.4711.0+0.0136101315151411846.6-0.01.48559187+2Tulsa Golden Hurricanes
Cincinnati22-55-13.278.2780.2+0.0012481114171815107.8+0.01.4129-14288-2Cincinnati Bearcats
UCF22-56-12.333.3330.1-0.0013581114161715117.8.45719234+3Central Florida Knights
Houston21-66-12.333.3330.0+0.00012469131825228.9-0.02.4455247Houston Cougars
SMU20-74-14.222.2220.0000123581322469.8+0.01.4637-21223-7Southern Methodist Mustangs

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Brown 69 Yale 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF*+0.0
SMU*+0.0
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Memphis*-0.0
Niagara 72 Iona 83
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UCF*-0.0
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Temple*-0.0
Washington_State 63 Utah 54
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UCF*-0.0
Marquette 58 Providence 66
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Memphis*+0.0
USC 53 California 67
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Memphis*-0.0
Saturday
East_Carolina vs TulsaIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
East_Carolina2.42.30.50.6
5.35.36.66.7
Tulsa0.30.31.61.6
7.37.26.05.9
Memphis vs HoustonHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UConn44.0*43.9*44.344.5
USF20.8*20.2*21.521.3
3.1*3.1*3.03.0
Temple4.2*4.2*4.14.1
Memphis2.02.00.60.5
6.05.97.27.3
Houston9.49.48.58.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.