How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USC 53 California 67 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas_State vs Appalachian_State+3.4+2.8-2.8-3.4
+0.6+0.6-0.6-0.6
Arkansas-LR vs Texas-Arlington-1.5-1.9+1.5+1.5
Troy vs Arkansas_State+0.4*+0.6*-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1711-0Yes1004
82-012.5%131313132513138
71-03.6418212511111128
60-07.88161817141185310632,712
0-1No211811211474428
0-2No1338131313138
0-11No50504
Total:7.8%8161817141185310632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title