"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR vs Texas-Arlington+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1
Texas_State vs Appalachian_State+0.3+0.2-0.7-0.7
Troy vs Arkansas_State-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1711-091.7%92812
82-0No21172533424
71-0No41920291511284
60-00.00314222917105101,958,136
0-1No18212324156184
0-2No1338292124
0-11No883812
Total:0.0%0314222917105101,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title