How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Virginia_Tech 76 Wake_Forest 59 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Grand_Canyon vs Texas-Pan_American-2.0-1.9+2.2+2.5
-0.2-0.2+0.3+0.3
Utah_Valley vs New_Mexico_State+2.3+1.9-0.6-0.7
Cal_State_Bakersfield vs Chicago_State-0.1*+0.0+0.9+1.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas-Pan_American finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1410-0Yes10012
62-025.0%253339336
51-06.3623608248
40-04.6520571341001,958,184
0-1No195029248
0-2No633508336
0-10No584212
Total:4.6%520571341001,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title