How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72 *-0.0
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58 *+0.0
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CC-3.7-3.7+2.9+3.8
-0.8-0.7+0.7+0.8
McNeese_State vs Northwestern_State+1.3+1.2-1.0-1.3
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_Austin+0.5*+0.4*-0.6-0.5
Houston_Baptist vs Lamar+0.4*+0.3*-0.2-0.4
Central_Arkansas vs Nicholls_State-0.2*-0.3*+0.4+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Texas_A&M-CC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1612-0Yes1004
62-016.7%1713338214424
40-09.0912121211108765431632,736
0-2No817825138844424
0-12No1004
Total:9.0%912121211108765431632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title