"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
Arkansas-LR8-015-2.882.88252.4%-0.1522312632100002.0.60261145+2Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans
Arkansas_State7-211-6.647.64721.3-0.221241914106321003.1.5459490+1Arkansas State Red Wolves
Troy6-211-6.647.64712.8+0.213202017128531103.7.5206-8128-2Troy Trojans
Texas_State16-39-7.563.5637.8-0.081618171411853104.3.5029-1161Texas State Bobcats
Louisiana-Lafayette34-410-4.714.7142.1+0.1269111314141310626.1+0.02.5014-1164-1Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
Appalachian_State14-48-8.500.5001.8-0.0259121414141211716.1.5131143-1Appalachian State Mountaineers
Texas-Arlington23-57-8.467.4670.7+0.0124710121517171257.2-0.02.4345-1263+2Texas-Arlington Mavericks
Georgia_State13-57-9.438.4380.5+0.1124710121415151367.2-0.02.4786199-1Georgia State Panthers
Louisiana-Monroe33-54-10.286.2860.5+0.1024710131516141267.2+0.03.4974-1169Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
Georgia_Southern21-63-12.200.2000.1+0.00012469141928178.8+0.01.4202-1280Georgia Southern Eagles
South_Alabama10-91-15.063.063No00001249216310.4-0.01.3852-12323-2South Alabama Jaguars

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas_State*-0.0
Troy*-0.1
*-0.0
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas_State*+0.0
South_Alabama*-0.0
Washington_State 63 Utah 54
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Georgia_State*-0.0
Louisiana-Monroe*+0.0
USC 53 California 67
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas_State*+0.0
Texas-Arlington*+0.0
Virginia_Tech 76 Wake_Forest 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas-Arlington*+0.0
DePaul 96 Creighton 71
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas_State*+0.0
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Troy*+0.0
Brown 69 Yale 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Louisiana-Monroe*-0.0
Washington 85 Colorado 82
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Louisiana-Monroe*-0.0
Saturday
Arkansas-LR vs Texas-ArlingtonIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR60.959.744.744.0
1.71.72.22.2
Arkansas_State18.419.323.824.2
Troy10.511.114.915.1
Texas_State6.35.99.39.3
Louisiana-Lafayette1.61.62.62.5
Appalachian_State1.4*1.6*2.12.2
Texas-Arlington0.10.11.11.2
7.87.76.86.7
Georgia_State0.40.30.80.7
7.27.27.37.3
Louisiana-Monroe0.4*0.4*0.60.6
7.17.1*7.27.3
Georgia_Southern8.88.8*8.98.9
Troy vs Arkansas_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR53.654.1*51.251.2
Arkansas_State13.313.728.929.3
3.73.62.62.6
Troy19.017.97.16.6
3.13.24.24.2
Texas_State8.2*8.4*7.47.4
Appalachian_State1.9*2.1*1.71.7
Texas_State vs Appalachian_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR51.4*52.2*53.253.5
Arkansas_State20.9*20.5*21.821.8
Troy12.3*12.2*13.113.3
Texas_State11.110.65.04.4
3.73.74.84.8
Appalachian_State0.70.73.03.0
6.76.75.55.4
Texas-Arlington0.6*0.6*0.70.7
Georgia_Southern8.88.7*8.88.8
Georgia_State vs Louisiana-LafayetteHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR52.7*53.2*52.252.1
Arkansas_State21.6*21.3*20.621.1
Troy3.7*3.6*3.73.7
Louisiana-Lafayette1.00.93.23.2
6.76.75.45.4
Georgia_State0.90.80.20.2
6.66.77.97.9
Louisiana-Monroe vs Georgia_SouthernHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Louisiana-Lafayette6.1*6.1*6.06.0
Louisiana-Monroe0.80.90.10.2
6.66.67.87.8
Georgia_Southern0.0*0.00.20.1
9.39.38.38.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.