How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
DePaul 96 Creighton 71 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
St_Marys vs Portland+4.4+4.4-4.1-4.4
+0.4+0.4-0.4-0.4
Pacific vs Gonzaga+1.3+1.4-1.2-1.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St_Marys finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1610-0Yes1004
82-0No1004
71-09.4%92522259932
60-011.5112021201583100632,712
0-13.13919311996332
0-2No2550254
0-10No25754
Total:11.5%112021201583100632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title