How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
St_Marys vs Portland+0.7+0.5-5.3-5.3
+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5
Pacific vs Gonzaga-0.2*-0.0+4.2+4.5
BYU vs San_Diego+1.0+0.7-0.7-0.9
Loyola_Marymount vs San_Francisco+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St_Marys finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1610-0Yes10012
82-08.3%833421712
71-012.5132039189296
60-08.891931281030001,958,136
0-14.2418182629596
0-28.38817508812
0-10No33422512
Total:8.8%91931281030001,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title