Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

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Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChangeStrength
Stephen_F_Austin25-19-5.643.64382.1%-0.18212410000000001.3.4870-5185.607Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
Texas_A&M-CC4-27-9.438.43810.3-0.1103021149643100003.4.4152286-1.481Texas A&M-CC Islanders
Northwestern_State26-17-7.500.5002.8+0.131716161513107310004.7+0.01.4859186.215Northwestern State Demons
McNeese_State34-26-7.462.4622.6+0.031316151312119521005.0-0.01.4811195-1.222McNeese State Cowboys
Lamar15-25-10.333.3331.0-0.011015161513119631005.3.44301252+2.304Lamar Cardinals
Nicholls_State3-36-10.375.3750.5+0.01591214151413952106.2.4443250.240Nicholls State Colonels
Central_Arkansas23-36-8.429.4290.3+0.007910121213131174206.4.4285-2270.214Central Arkansas Bears
Houston_Baptist32-44-9.308.3080.2+0.0013579131620138417.9.4221278.408Houston Baptist Huskies
Abilene_Christian31-55-8.385.3850.1+0.004810121415141263106.6-0.02.4273271.497Abilene Christian Wildcats
Sam_Houston_State3-44-12.250.2500.0+0.00000123611213021510.4.4017-12302.211Sam Houston State Bearkats
Incarnate_Word42-33-9.250.2500.0-0.00000012371422371311.1.3842325+1.204Incarnate Word Cardinals
Southeastern_Louisiana12-44-11.267.2670.0+0.000011347122220171110.3+0.01.4170-1282.155Southeastern Louisiana Lions
New_Orleans30-61-12.077.077No-0.00000001148176912.4.3398347-1.151New Orleans Privateers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
USC 53 California 67
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Sam_Houston_State-0.0
Brown 69 Yale 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Sam_Houston_State*No
DePaul 96 Creighton 71
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Abilene_Christian*+0.0
Villanova 56 Seton_Hall 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Houston_Baptist*-0.0
Saturday
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_AustinIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stephen_F_Austin71.271.484.584.7
1.51.51.21.2
Texas_A&M-CC15.515.49.29.1
3.43.43.43.5
Northwestern_State4.64.72.52.4
McNeese_State4.64.62.12.1
Lamar1.81.60.80.8
Nicholls_State0.90.80.40.4
Central_Arkansas0.70.70.20.2
6.56.56.46.4
Houston_Baptist0.40.40.20.2
8.08.07.97.9
Abilene_Christian0.30.3*0.10.1
6.66.7*6.56.5
Sam_Houston_State9.79.710.610.6
Incarnate_Word11.211.211.011.0
Southeastern_Louisiana10.410.410.210.2
New_Orleans12.512.5*12.412.4
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CCHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stephen_F_Austin86.186.281.081.0
1.21.21.31.3
Texas_A&M-CC4.95.111.811.8
4.34.33.23.2
Northwestern_State3.1*3.0*2.82.8
4.54.54.74.7
McNeese_State3.23.1*2.42.4
4.95.05.15.1
Lamar1.21.3*0.90.9
5.25.25.35.3
Nicholls_State0.7*0.6*0.50.5
6.26.16.26.2
Central_Arkansas6.36.36.56.5
Houston_Baptist7.97.98.08.0
Abilene_Christian6.56.5*6.66.6
Sam_Houston_State10.510.510.410.4
Incarnate_Word11.211.211.011.0
Southeastern_Louisiana10.310.310.210.2
New_Orleans12.112.112.512.5
McNeese_State vs Northwestern_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stephen_F_Austin81.9*82.3*82.682.4
Texas_A&M-CC10.7*10.39.79.7
Northwestern_State1.71.84.95.1
5.15.13.83.7
McNeese_State3.53.50.80.8
4.64.65.96.0
Houston_Baptist vs LamarHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stephen_F_Austin82.2*81.9*81.881.7
Texas_A&M-CC10.4*10.6*10.110.1
3.4*3.43.53.5
Northwestern_State2.9*2.9*2.62.6
4.64.64.74.7
Lamar0.60.62.22.1
5.65.64.34.3
Houston_Baptist0.30.30.00.0
7.67.68.98.9
Southeastern_Louisiana10.310.310.110.2
Central_Arkansas vs Nicholls_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stephen_F_Austin82.2*82.0*81.681.9
Nicholls_State0.20.20.91.0
6.86.85.45.3
Central_Arkansas0.40.40.10.1
5.85.97.47.4
Abilene_Christian vs Incarnate_WordHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Texas_A&M-CC3.4*3.43.33.4
Northwestern_State4.7*4.74.64.6
McNeese_State5.1*5.04.94.9
Lamar5.3*5.35.25.2
Nicholls_State6.2*6.26.16.1
Central_Arkansas6.4*6.46.46.3
Abilene_Christian0.1*0.20.00.0
6.46.47.77.7
Sam_Houston_State10.410.410.510.5
Incarnate_Word11.211.210.210.2
Southeastern_Louisiana10.210.210.410.4
New_Orleans12.412.412.512.5
Duquesne vs DavidsonHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
McNeese_State*5.0*5.05.15.0
Cal_State_Fullerton vs UC_Santa_BarbaraHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
McNeese_State*5.0*5.05.15.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.