How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UTSA vs Western_Kentucky+0.8+0.8-0.2-0.3
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0
Southern_Miss vs North_Texas+0.1*-0.0-0.7-0.7
+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.8
Charlotte vs Middle_Tennessee+0.1+0.3*-0.0-0.0
+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0
Louisiana_Tech vs Rice-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1
Old_Dominion vs UAB+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southern_Miss finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1612-091.7%92812
51-03.532228211282211144
40-00.9113322113853210001,958,064
0-1No314331713111611144
0-12No1775812
Total:0.9%1133221138532100001,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title