How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Niagara 72 Iona 83 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SIU-Edwardsville vs Murray_State+8.3+7.4-7.8-8.2
+0.5+0.4-0.4-0.5
UT-Martin vs SE_Missouri_State-3.7-3.5+3.7+3.7
-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1
Tennessee_State vs Belmont-1.7-2.3*+1.2+1.8
-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Jacksonville_State vs Morehead_State+0.4*+0.2*-0.3-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SIU-Edwardsville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
159-0Yes1004
82-050.0%5025131316
71-025.02525504
60-031.23124161175321000632,744
0-26.36381313619616
0-125.02525504
0-9No2550254
Total:31.2%3124161175321000632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title