How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UT-Martin vs SE_Missouri_State-1.1-0.6+12.3+13.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1
SIU-Edwardsville vs Murray_State+1.1*+0.4-10.0-10.5
+0.0+0.0-0.4-0.4
Jacksonville_State vs Morehead_State-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the SIU-Edwardsville finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
159-0Yes10012
82-037.5%38521048
71-025.025502512
60-022.42253213100001,958,232
0-24.2425173517248
0-150.05081788812
0-9No850251712
Total:22.4%22532131000001,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title