Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

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Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChangeStrength
American27-012-6.667.66747.1%+0.0472415950002.0.5641-1270-1.643American University Eagles
Army44-311-5.688.68826.9-0.2272721151010002.6.4973170.810Army Black Knights
Bucknell24-312-6.667.66711.2+0.01121262218200003.2.52309124+1.741Bucknell Bison
Navy35-210-7.588.5889.1+0.0914192628400003.6-0.01.4703-4209.619Navy Midshipmen
Lehigh44-311-5.688.6885.7+0.1613192631500003.8.52372123-1.713Lehigh Mountain Hawks
Lafayette3-410-10.500.5000.0+0.00002752317106.4.50123165-1.410Lafayette Leopards
Holy_Cross3-47-13.350.3500.000002314019617.0.470910208+3.278Holy Cross Crusaders
Loyola_MD23-45-13.278.2780.0+0.000000419442668.1.4436-1251.150Loyola (MD) Greyhounds
Boston21-64-14.222.2220.0000001524709.6.399111308+2.173Boston University Terriers
Colgate21-62-16.111.1110.000000282442248.8.41421287.196Colgate Raiders

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Villanova 56 Seton_Hall 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Navy*+0.0
Saturday
Army vs AmericanIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
American40.340.671.572.5
2.22.11.51.4
Army32.532.16.86.2
2.42.43.33.3
Bucknell11.711.89.99.4
Navy9.59.57.17.5
Lehigh6.16.14.64.3
3.83.83.73.7
Bucknell vs BostonHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
American46.9*47.350.649.8
2.0*2.01.91.9
Army26.8*26.7*28.128.9
2.6*2.62.52.4
Bucknell11.6*11.24.04.1
3.2*3.23.83.8
Navy9.0*9.011.011.0
3.6*3.63.43.4
Lehigh3.8*3.83.63.6
Loyola_MD8.1*8.18.28.2
Boston9.6*9.69.39.3
Colgate8.8*8.88.98.9
Navy vs Holy_CrossHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
American46.7*47.049.649.1
2.0*2.01.91.9
Army26.526.428.829.3
2.62.62.42.4
Bucknell3.23.23.13.1
Navy10.09.74.03.7
3.53.54.24.2
Lehigh5.6*5.7*6.16.4
3.83.83.63.6
Lafayette6.46.46.56.5
Holy_Cross7.17.06.66.6
Loyola_MD8.18.18.28.2
Colgate8.78.88.88.8
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CCHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Lafayette*0.0*NoNo*0.0
Loyola_MD vs ColgateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Loyola_MD7.87.88.58.5
Colgate9.19.18.48.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.