Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

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Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
UT-Martin16-010-9.526.52640.8%+0.34124159532100002.4+0.01.4905-22179-2Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
SIU-Edwardsville6-111-9.550.55031.2-0.131241611753210002.8+0.01.480716196+1SIU-Edwardsville Cougars
Tennessee_State35-18-9.471.47115.8-0.0162118151075421003.7-0.01.4737-1205-1Tennessee State Tigers
Morehead_State24-27-11.389.3894.4-0.0412151713119764205.0-0.01.4699-12210-2Morehead State Eagles
Eastern_Illinois4-37-13.350.3503.5-0.0471113161412964215.6-0.01.4123-1291-1Eastern Illinois Panthers
Austin_Peay23-35-13.278.2783.0-0.1358101213131197536.5-0.03.4392-21260-3Austin Peay Governors
Jacksonville_State13-412-7.632.6320.6-0.0135791113141512827.3+0.01.4747-2204-2Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Belmont13-46-13.316.3160.4+0.10258101213141411827.3+0.02.4780-2200-1Belmont Bruins
Eastern_Kentucky52-46-9.400.4000.2-0.00136810121415141257.9+0.01.4450-2248Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Tennessee_Tech2-54-16.200.2000.0+0.00124691012141517108.6-0.02.3648-9340-2Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
SE_Missouri_State21-66-12.333.3330.0+0.0000123571018233010.2+0.01.4008-11305-2Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Murray_State30-63-14.176.1760.0-0.000001235713224610.7.3695-21335-1Murray State Racers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville_State*-0.0
Belmont*-0.1
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Belmont*-0.0
Niagara 72 Iona 83
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SIU-Edwardsville*-0.0
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Kentucky*+0.0
Villanova 56 Seton_Hall 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Belmont*+0.0
Washington 85 Colorado 82
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Illinois*-0.0
Marquette 58 Providence 66
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Kentucky*-0.0
Murray_State*-0.0
DePaul 96 Creighton 71
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee_State*-0.0
Eastern_Illinois*+0.0
Virginia_Tech 76 Wake_Forest 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville_State*-0.0
Saturday
UT-Martin vs SE_Missouri_StateIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UT-Martin49.348.832.432.4
2.02.02.72.7
SIU-Edwardsville27.527.734.834.9
2.92.92.72.7
Tennessee_State13.713.917.917.9
3.73.73.63.6
Morehead_State3.23.25.65.5
Eastern_Illinois2.9*3.14.14.2
Austin_Peay2.62.5*3.23.4
Jacksonville_State0.40.40.90.8
7.37.37.47.4
Belmont0.20.20.60.5
7.27.27.37.3
Eastern_Kentucky0.10.1*0.30.3
7.97.98.08.0
Tennessee_Tech8.58.58.78.7
SE_Missouri_State10.610.69.79.7
Murray_State10.610.710.710.8
SIU-Edwardsville vs Murray_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UT-Martin37.238.243.944.4
2.42.42.32.3
SIU-Edwardsville39.438.623.422.9
2.32.43.33.3
Tennessee_State12.912.718.418.7
3.83.73.63.6
Morehead_State3.53.35.45.3
5.15.15.05.0
Eastern_Illinois3.3*3.5*4.03.8
5.75.75.65.6
Austin_Peay2.7*2.8*3.33.2
Jacksonville_State0.5*0.4*0.70.8
Belmont0.3*0.30.60.5
Eastern_Kentucky0.2*0.10.40.3
Tennessee_Tech8.68.68.78.7
SE_Missouri_State10.110.110.210.2
Murray_StateNo*No*0.00.0
11.111.110.310.3
Tennessee_State vs BelmontHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UT-Martin38.238.543.843.4
2.42.42.32.3
SIU-Edwardsville29.528.9*32.333.0
2.92.9*2.82.7
Tennessee_State21.722.110.29.9
3.13.14.34.3
Morehead_State4.2*4.6*4.64.5
Eastern_Illinois2.92.64.04.1
Austin_Peay2.42.43.43.5
Belmont0.10.10.70.7
8.07.96.66.5
SE_Missouri_State10.110.1*10.210.2
Jacksonville_State vs Morehead_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UT-Martin41.4*41.3*39.840.3
SIU-Edwardsville31.6*31.4*30.930.8
Tennessee_State16.1*16.2*15.715.4
Morehead_State2.02.17.06.7
5.85.74.34.3
Eastern_Illinois3.8*3.93.13.2
Austin_Peay3.2*3.2*2.72.7
Jacksonville_State1.11.20.10.1
6.66.68.18.1
Eastern_Illinois vs Austin_PeayHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Illinois5.65.51.71.5
4.84.96.46.5
Austin_Peay1.31.34.54.6
7.37.25.65.6
Tennessee_Tech8.6*8.68.78.7
Tennessee_Tech vs Eastern_KentuckyHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Kentucky0.10.1*0.30.4
8.78.67.27.2
Tennessee_Tech7.97.99.39.4
SE_Missouri_State10.210.210.110.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.