How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Northern_Colorado vs I_daho+0.2+0.2-0.9-0.8
+0.2+0.2-0.8-0.8
Southern_Utah vs Montana+0.5+0.4-0.1-0.2
-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0
North_Dakota vs Eastern_Washington+0.2*+0.1-0.2-0.2
Sacramento_State vs Weber_State-0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0
Northern_Arizona vs Montana_State-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Northern_Colorado finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1512-075.0%752512
52-04.2417212113174424
41-0No92019251853196
30-01.1151118251911631001,958,112
0-1No41011212015105396
0-2No4817332113424
0-12No89212
Total:1.1%151118251911631001,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title