How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57 +2.6
+0.6
Wichita_State 85 Illinois_State 38 -0.7
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58 *+0.5
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72 +0.0
Washington 85 Colorado 82 *+0.0
SaturdayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Missouri_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1612-0Yes1004
62-0No1733331712
51-0No172125258424
40-07.0%711151819149521632,712
0-1No41333211313424
0-2No172517258812
0-12No1004
Total:7.0%711151819149521632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title