"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Brown 69 Yale 79 *-0.0
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Charlotte vs Middle_Tennessee-6.8-6.3+6.2+6.8
-0.8-0.7+0.7+0.8
UTSA vs Western_Kentucky+2.1+2.5-1.9-2.2
Southern_Miss vs North_Texas-0.9*-0.3*+0.8+0.9
Louisiana_Tech vs Rice-0.5*-0.8+1.0+0.5
-0.0*-0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middle_Tennessee finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1712-0Yes1004
61-014.6%152519136266222248
50-020.3201814119754332110632,688
0-12.12172325441382248
0-12No50504
Total:20.3%201814119754332110632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title