How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
DePaul 96 Creighton 71 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Florida_GC vs Kennesaw_State-5.7-5.5+5.2+5.7
-0.6-0.5+0.6+0.6
Stetson vs USC-Upstate-0.8-0.9+1.0+0.8
North_Florida vs Lipscomb+0.4*+0.7*+0.0-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kennesaw_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1210-0Yes1004
42-016.7%171725258812
31-06.361362519131916
20-09.3912141514131210632,728
0-1No613313113616
0-2No881717252512
0-10No1004
Total:9.3%912141514131210632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title