How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Abilene_Christian vs Incarnate_Word-1.1-1.1+0.8+1.1
-0.8-0.8+0.8+0.8
McNeese_State vs Northwestern_State+0.3+0.4*-0.2-0.3
-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CC+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_Austin-0.0*-0.1*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Incarnate_Word finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1513-0Yes1004
42-08.3%8817841348178424
31-0No252525254
20-02.0246789910101111105632,728
0-2No813417842513824
0-13No1004
0-1No252525254
Total:2.0%246789910101111105632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title