How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Houston_Baptist vs Lamar+0.6+0.6-0.6-0.6
+0.8+0.7-0.8-0.8
McNeese_State vs Northwestern_State+0.2*+0.0*-0.1-0.1
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_Austin+0.1*+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston_Baptist finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1412-0Yes1004
42-0No1744382144824
20-00.9%124567810111213138632,736
0-2No4171313417171724
0-12No25754
Total:0.9%124567810111213138632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title