How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Villanova 56 Seton_Hall 59 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Houston_Baptist vs Lamar+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2
+0.4+0.4-0.9-0.9
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_Austin+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.0
-0.1-0.1-0.0+0.0
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CC+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Houston_Baptist finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1412-091.7%92812
42-0No313117815191110372
20-00.2013579131620138411,958,208
0-2No373192111268172
0-12No10012
Total:0.2%013579131620138411,958,376
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title