Duke Blue Devils Women’s Basketball 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, regular season title odds down 0.07 to 7.2%
4-2   13-6   .684

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72 *-0.1
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Clemson vs Notre_Dame+0.4*+0.6*-0.4-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Duke finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1410-0Yes1004
62-050.0%5025254
51-06.361313131663361333332
40-07.27910101010987654210632,712
0-1No1336161336613693332
0-2No2525504
0-10No25754
Total:7.2%7910101010987654210632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title