How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Brown 69 Yale 79 *-0.0
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Central_Arkansas vs Nicholls_State+1.8+1.9-1.8-1.8
+0.9+0.9-0.8-0.9
Sam_Houston_State vs Stephen_F_Austin+0.5+0.5-0.7-0.5
-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
Houston_Baptist vs Lamar+0.3+0.6*-0.4-0.3
New_Orleans vs Texas_A&M-CC+0.1+0.5*-0.0-0.2
+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
McNeese_State vs Northwestern_State+0.2*+0.4*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Central_Arkansas finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1512-0Yes1004
52-05.0%515105515101515520
41-012.513131325388
30-03.236789101010109863632,728
0-2No15152020520520
0-1No25252513138
0-12No1004
Total:3.2%36789101010109863632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title