How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cal_State_Bakersfield vs Chicago_State+2.9+2.8-2.8-2.9
+0.6+0.5-0.5-0.6
Utah_Valley vs New_Mexico_State+0.9+1.1-1.1-0.9
Grand_Canyon vs Texas-Pan_American+1.0+0.8-0.7-1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cal_State_Bakersfield finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1210-0Yes1004
42-016.7%173342812
31-0No193162513616
20-06.461216171614118632,728
0-1No1962525131316
0-2No3325251712
0-10No1004
Total:6.4%61216171614118632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title