"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats" (thank you Mr. Dater) |
Cal Poly Mustangs Women’s Basketball 2014-2015 50/50
Did not play, regular season title odds down 0.05 to 22.4%
4-1 9-8 .529
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Friday | 100.0* | Chance wins regular season title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57 | *+0.2 | *+0.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway | ||||
| Saturday | 100.0* | Chance wins regular season title | 100.0* | Average seed |
| UC_Riverside vs Cal_Poly | -7.3-6.4+6.3+7.3 | -0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5 | ||
| Long_Beach_State vs Cal_State_Northridge | -2.0-1.6+1.8+2.0 | |||
| UC_Irvine vs Hawaii | +0.4*+0.8*-0.2-0.5 | |||
| Cal_State_Fullerton vs UC_Santa_Barbara | -0.4*+0.1*+0.5+0.4 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Cal_Poly finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | Chance wins regular season title | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | |||
| 15 | 11 | - | 0 | Yes | 100 | 4 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | 2 | - | 0 | 25.0 | % | 25 | 42 | 8 | 17 | 8 | 12 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | 1 | - | 0 | 35.0 | 35 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | ||||||||||
| 4 | 0 | - | 0 | 22.4 | 22 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 632,720 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 1 | No | 50 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 2 | No | 33 | 17 | 17 | 25 | 8 | 12 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 11 | No | 100 | 4 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 22.4 | % | 22 | 21 | 17 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 632,792 | |||||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:53 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
