Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
Western_Kentucky6-017-2.895.89540.0%-0.3402013964321110002.8-0.02.6347-822Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Middle_Tennessee35-111-5.688.68820.3-0.12018141197543321104.1.5957150+2Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
Southern_Miss34-210-6.625.6259.9+0.110121110109876553215.7.5107-1147+1Southern Miss Golden Eagles
Louisiana_Tech34-28-8.500.5008.7+0.29111211109876543215.7+0.01.5226-6126-2Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
UAB23-39-8.529.5293.5+0.1367889999887637.5.4487-4243Alabama Birmingham Blazers
UTSA13-38-10.444.4443.4-0.1367899999887547.5-0.02.466410215+2Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners
Marshall43-39-6.600.6003.2+0.0367899999887637.5-0.02.5375106Marshall Thundering Herd
Charlotte13-37-11.389.3893.2+0.1357889999987537.5-0.01.4845-14190-3Charlotte 49ers
Old_Dominion23-310-7.588.5882.6-0.1357899999987537.5+0.02.514611140+1Old Dominion Monarchs
UTEP53-37-7.500.5002.4+0.0267899999987537.5-0.02.4415-1255+1Texas-El Paso Miners
FAU42-37-8.467.4672.1+0.0245678899999868.4+0.01.4932-1176Florida Atlantic Owls
Rice21-56-11.353.3530.2+0.001123456791114182110.9+0.04.4380261Rice Owls
North_Texas21-52-15.118.1180.2+0.001123356791215172010.9+0.01.3622341North Texas Mean Green
FIU30-53-13.188.1880.2+0.000112334671013193011.5-0.01.3936-3315Florida International Panthers

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Niagara 72 Iona 83
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss*-0.1
Arizona_State 70 Oregon 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss*+0.0
Charlotte*-0.1
FAU*-0.0
UCLA 70 Stanford 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UTSA*-0.0
North_Texas*+0.0
Virginia_Tech 76 Wake_Forest 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Rice*-0.0
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Middle_Tennessee*-0.0
UTSA*-0.0
FAU*-0.0
Brown 69 Yale 79
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Middle_Tennessee*-0.0
Old_Dominion*+0.0
UTEP*+0.0
Washington 85 Colorado 82
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UTSA*-0.0
Wichita_State 85 Illinois_State 38
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Southern_Miss*+0.0
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Old_Dominion*-0.0
Marquette 58 Providence 66
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UTEP*-0.0
North_Texas*-0.0
Washington_State 63 Utah 54
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UTSA*-0.0
DePaul 96 Creighton 71
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
FIU*-0.0
Arizona 55 Oregon_State 73
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky*+0.0
Evansville 44 Northern_Iowa 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky*-0.0
Saturday
UTSA vs Western_KentuckyIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky30.630.449.749.5
3.43.32.32.3
Middle_Tennessee22.422.818.418.1
Southern_Miss11.111.18.48.7
Louisiana_Tech9.710.17.57.7
UAB3.9*3.82.93.0
UTSA5.95.70.60.8
6.66.68.38.4
Marshall3.6*3.6*2.82.8
Charlotte3.63.9*2.82.8
Old_Dominion3.0*2.7*2.32.3
7.6*7.6*7.57.5
UTEP3.02.81.91.9
FAU2.4*2.4*2.01.9
8.4*8.4*8.38.3
Rice10.9*11.0*10.910.8
FIU11.5*11.611.411.5
Charlotte vs Middle_TennesseeHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky42.041.538.138.1
Middle_Tennessee13.514.026.527.1
4.94.83.43.3
Southern_Miss10.410.9*9.39.4
5.75.6*5.75.7
Louisiana_Tech9.3*9.3*8.18.0
UAB3.7*3.7*3.53.2
7.5*7.5*7.47.5
UTSA3.6*3.5*3.03.1
Marshall3.4*3.3*3.03.0
Charlotte5.45.51.01.0
6.66.78.48.5
Old_Dominion3.13.1*2.32.2
UTEP2.6*2.5*2.52.3
7.67.6*7.57.5
FAU2.3*2.1*1.92.0
8.4*8.4*8.38.3
Rice10.9*11.0*10.810.9
Southern_Miss vs North_TexasHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky38.938.241.341.2
2.82.92.82.8
Middle_Tennessee19.3*19.9*21.121.2
Southern_Miss13.713.75.86.1
4.84.96.56.6
Louisiana_Tech8.2*8.79.69.1
5.7*5.75.65.6
UAB3.3*3.4*3.43.6
UTSA3.2*3.1*3.23.6
Marshall3.1*3.0*3.63.4
Charlotte3.0*3.1*3.53.4
Old_Dominion2.5*2.5*3.02.8
7.6*7.6*7.57.5
UTEP7.67.67.57.5
FAU2.0*1.8*2.12.3
North_Texas0.00.00.30.4
11.611.510.210.2
Louisiana_Tech vs RiceHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky38.838.7*40.741.3
2.82.92.82.8
Middle_Tennessee19.8*19.521.320.8
4.1*4.24.14.1
Southern_Miss9.5*9.7*10.110.3
Louisiana_Tech12.112.05.45.3
4.84.86.56.5
UAB3.2*3.6*3.83.6
UTSA3.1*3.1*3.63.6
Marshall3.1*3.0*3.43.4
Charlotte3.0*3.0*3.53.3
Old_Dominion2.5*2.6*2.72.8
UTEP2.3*2.3*2.52.5
7.6*7.67.67.5
FAU2.0*2.1*2.42.2
8.4*8.48.38.4
Rice0.00.00.40.4
11.611.610.210.2
UTEP vs MarshallHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky40.4*39.9*39.739.7
Marshall1.51.55.25.0
8.58.56.66.5
UTEP3.83.91.01.0
6.66.68.58.5
Old_Dominion vs UABHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UAB1.61.94.85.3
8.58.46.66.5
Old_Dominion4.14.11.21.2
6.66.68.58.5
FAU vs FIUHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Western_Kentucky39.8*39.9*40.940.3
Louisiana_Tech8.5*8.5*8.28.9
UTSA7.57.5*7.47.5
FAU3.23.21.01.1
7.57.59.29.2
FIU0.10.0*0.20.3
12.212.210.810.8
St_Louis vs FordhamHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Louisiana_Tech*5.75.65.7*5.7
Baylor vs Kansas_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Old_Dominion*7.57.67.6*7.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.