How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Niagara 72 Iona 83 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Bryant vs Sacred_Heart+8.0+7.6-7.9-8.1
+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5
CCSU vs Wagner-2.5-1.9+2.4+2.4
Mount_St_Marys vs St_Francis_PA-1.2*-1.1+1.5+1.2
-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0
St_Francis_NY vs Robert_Morris+1.0+1.6*-0.7-1.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bryant finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1712-0Yes1004
72-025.0%255017812
61-033.3331717218424
50-026.727211612964211632,712
0-1No4633484424
0-2No172525171712
0-12No50504
Total:26.7%27211612964211632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title