Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChange
Long_Beach_State24-016-1.941.94134.7%+0.235201411864212.8+0.01.5928-1352+1Long Beach State 49ers
Cal_Poly24-19-8.529.52922.4-0.1222117131075313.3+0.01.5102-2150+4Cal Poly Mustangs
UC_Davis33-27-9.438.43810.8+0.01114151413119754.4.5459291-1California Davis Aggies
Cal_State_Northridge3-213-6.684.68410.7+0.011131415141210744.4.5194-10130-2Cal State Northridge Matadors
Hawaii42-28-7.533.5337.7+0.181012131313121185.0-0.01.52578120+1Hawaii Warriors
Cal_State_Fullerton22-29-8.529.5297.5-0.381012131414131075.0-0.02.4976-6168-1Cal State Fullerton Titans
UC_Riverside2-311-8.579.5794.6+0.1579111315171495.6+0.02.5133-14142-3California Riverside Highlanders
UC_Irvine10-42-16.111.1110.8-0.012357101523337.2-0.01.4221-2277-1California Irvine Anteaters
UC_Santa_Barbara20-40-17.000.0000.8-0.012358111522337.2-0.01.36643337California Santa Barbara Gauchos

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Friday
Missouri_State 61 Southern_Illinois 57
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cal_Poly*+0.2
*+0.0
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cal_State_Fullerton*+0.0
UC_Irvine*-0.0
Washington_State 63 Utah 54
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UC_Davis*+0.0
Cal_State_Fullerton*-0.0
Arizona_State 70 Oregon 58
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UC_Irvine*+0.0
Wichita_State 85 Illinois_State 38
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cal_State_Fullerton*-0.0
Virginia_Tech 76 Wake_Forest 59
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Cal_State_Northridge*-0.0
Arizona 55 Oregon_State 73
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Hawaii*-0.0
Saturday
Long_Beach_State vs Cal_State_NorthridgeIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Long_Beach_State44.943.825.324.4
2.32.43.33.4
Cal_Poly20.420.824.224.5
UC_Davis9.6*10.212.011.8
Cal_State_Northridge4.85.015.716.6
5.15.03.93.8
Hawaii7.4*7.4*7.68.0
Cal_State_Fullerton7.1*7.18.47.9
UC_Riverside4.3*4.2*5.05.0
UC_Irvine0.8*0.8*0.90.9
UC_Santa_Barbara0.7*0.7*1.00.8
7.1*7.1*7.27.2
UC_Riverside vs Cal_PolyHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Long_Beach_State36.1*35.3*33.533.3
Cal_Poly15.116.028.729.7
3.83.82.82.8
UC_Davis11.4*11.4*10.510.1
Cal_State_Northridge11.611.69.79.7
Hawaii8.48.4*7.17.0
Cal_State_Fullerton8.28.4*7.16.8
UC_Riverside7.57.32.01.8
5.05.16.26.2
UC_Santa_Barbara0.9*0.9*0.70.7
Cal_State_Fullerton vs UC_Santa_BarbaraHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Long_Beach_State33.833.2*35.535.5
Cal_Poly22.0*22.5*22.922.9
UC_Davis10.4*10.5*11.111.1
Cal_State_Northridge10.4*10.5*10.610.9
Hawaii7.5*7.6*7.97.9
Cal_State_Fullerton10.610.24.54.5
4.44.55.65.6
UC_Riverside4.3*4.65.44.9
UC_Irvine0.8*0.9*0.90.9
UC_Santa_Barbara0.30.21.11.3
7.77.76.76.7
UC_Irvine vs HawaiiHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Long_Beach_State35.6*35.3*33.733.8
Cal_Poly22.9*23.2*22.222.0
UC_Davis11.1*11.5*10.410.4
Cal_State_Northridge10.9*11.2*10.510.4
Hawaii4.64.710.310.8
5.65.64.54.4
Cal_State_Fullerton7.8*7.1*7.47.2
UC_Riverside4.9*4.9*4.24.4
UC_Irvine1.41.20.30.3
6.76.77.67.7

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.