How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Indiana_State 65 Drake 72 *-0.0
Georgetown 57 St_Johns 74 *+0.0
DePaul 96 Creighton 71 *+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Troy vs Arkansas_State-8.0-7.6+7.6+8.0
-0.5-0.5+0.5+0.5
Arkansas-LR vs Texas-Arlington-2.9-2.0+2.5+2.9
Texas_State vs Appalachian_State-0.5*-0.8*+0.5+0.5
Georgia_State vs Louisiana-Lafayette+0.2*-0.0*-0.7-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arkansas_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
1811-0Yes1004
92-075.0%7513138
81-014.31418321414728
70-021.32124191410632100632,712
0-13.6418293214428
0-2No252525258
0-11No5025254
Total:21.3%2124191410632100632,792
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title