American University Eagles Women’s Basketball 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, regular season title odds up 0.007 to 57.4%

7-0 12-6 .667

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Friday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Saturday	100.0*	Chance wins regular season title	100.0*	Average seed
Army vs American	-10.7-9.4+10.1+10.7		-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
Navy vs Holy_Cross	-2.5-1.7+2.5+2.5
Bucknell vs Boston	-1.2-0.7+0.8+1.1
Loyola_MD vs Colgate	-0.4+0.1+0.7+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well American finishes out the regular season. Explain

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW	W	-	L	Chance wins regular season title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

18	11	-	0	Yes		100															4
9	2	-	0	87.5	%	88	13														8
8	1	-	0	53.6		54	18	11	11		4	4									28
7	0	-	0	57.4		57	21	10	6	3	2	1	0	0	0						632,712
	0	-	1	7.1		7	57	21	14												28
	0	-	2	No			75	13	13												8
	0	-	11	No									25	50	25						4

Total:				57.4	%	57	21	10	6	3	2	1	0	0	0						632,792

Games Above .500

Chance Will Win Regular Season Title