How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Georgetown 72 Arkansas_State 78 *-0.1
*-0.0
George_Washington 61 Arkansas-PB 41 *-0.0
UTEP 81 Wake_Forest 103 *-0.0
Villanova 76 Western_Michigan 65 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Colorado vs Louisiana-Monroe*-0.0-0.1+0.2*+0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.3%961114821714126940,000
Total:9.3%961114821714126940,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title