How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38 *+0.3
*+0.0
Savannah_State 101 Middle_Georgia_State 93 *+0.0
Charleston 60 Boise_State 47 *-0.0
Texas 85 Eastern_Washington 52 *-0.0
Sam_Houston_State 91 Southern 83 *+0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Utah_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-010.7%1171513413121581140,000
Total:10.7%1171513413121581140,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title