How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Savannah_State 101 Middle_Georgia_State 93 *+0.1
*+0.0
Missouri_State 100 Fontbonne 27 *-0.1
Hampton 70 Chowan 69 (ot)-0.1
Missouri 82 Xavier 83 (ot)+0.1
Nicholls 86 Mississippi_College 55 *+0.0
Appalachian_State 119 Warren_Wilson 51 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the UNLV finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.9%1086121271112681040,000
Total:9.9%1086121271112681040,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title