How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Charleston 60 Boise_State 47 *+0.1
*+0.0
Maryland 93 St_Marys_MD 45 *+0.0
St_Louis 74 Eastern_Illinois 69 *-0.0
Ohio_State 72 Providence 67 *-0.0
Arizona_State 63 Northern_Iowa 82 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tulsa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.8%107612105913881040,000
Total:9.8%107612105913881040,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title