How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USC-Upstate 57 UNC-Asheville 73 *-0.3
*-0.0
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)+0.1
Florida 73 St_Bonaventure 66 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Southern finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.7%109101199111010940,000
Total:9.7%109101199111010940,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title