How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)+2.6
+0.1
Davidson 78 Clemson 95 *-0.0
Yale 89 Lehigh 81 (ot)*-0.0
Tennessee_Tech 95 Alabama_A&M 61 *+0.0
Missouri_State 100 Fontbonne 27 *-0.0
USF 61 Elon 74 *-0.0
Florida_A&M 100 Johnson 91 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oregon finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.0%961114821715127940,000
Total:9.0%961114821715127940,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title