"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win regular season titleChance will finish regular season at seed
GConfOverallPCT%Change123456789101112131415Avg.ChangeRPIChangeRankChangeStrength
Eastern_Illinois0-01-2.333.33319.8%+0.8201211222160221123.9+0.11.15631563322+8.827Eastern Illinois Panthers
Tennessee_State10-02-01.0001.00019.4+1.119152019921442233.9+0.17.750023-3.805Tennessee State Tigers
Morehead_State0-02-1.667.66717.9-0.318232115757310003.3-0.18.4688192-5.845Morehead State Eagles
Tennessee-Martin0-02-1.667.66714.0+0.6141818137614711114.1+0.05.5417107-8.792Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks
SE_Missouri_State0-02-1.667.66711.5+0.6111414128620921214.7+0.08.5500105-10.692Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
Eastern_Kentucky10-01-1.500.5008.6-3.69109887281332225.6-0.99.2625291-21.512Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Belmont20-00-1.000.0003.5+0.0422441210191915199.0-0.12.1250325-11.339Belmont Bruins
SIU-Edwardsville0-02-1.667.6672.1-0.4211220620211212209.1-0.26.5515101-10.277SIU-Edwardsville Cougars
Austin_Peay10-01-1.500.5001.3+0.11212111969111314118.1-0.03.625059-4.605Austin Peay Governors
Tennessee_Tech0-01-2.333.3331.3+1.1111213275710111297.7+1.44.3146646272.590Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles
Murray_State10-01-1.500.5000.6+0.0111171369131718148.9-0.06.5000129-13.463Murray State Racers
Jacksonville_State0-01-2.333.3330.2-0.000014958142122179.5-0.20.5513103-10.268Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Thursday
Missouri 82 Xavier 83 (ot)
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Illinois-2.2
-0.1
Tennessee_State*+0.0
Belmont*-0.0
SIU-Edwardsville+0.1
Murray_State*-0.0
Jacksonville_State*-0.1
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee_State*-0.1
SE_Missouri_State*+1.7
Eastern_Kentucky-0.2
Tennessee_Tech+0.1
Jacksonville_State+0.4
+0.1
Savannah_State 101 Middle_Georgia_State 93
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Morehead_State*-0.1
St_Louis 74 Eastern_Illinois 69
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Illinois-0.1
Tennessee_State+0.1
SE_Missouri_State+0.0
Tennessee_Tech 95 Alabama_A&M 61
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee_Tech+0.0
Arizona_State 63 Northern_Iowa 82
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-Martin*-0.0
Belmont*+0.0
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SE_Missouri_State*-0.0
USC-Upstate 57 UNC-Asheville 73
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Austin_Peay*+0.0
UMass 70 Temple 67
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-Martin*+0.0
Maryland 93 St_Marys_MD 45
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee-Martin*-0.0
Wisconsin 69 Chicago_State 51
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Austin_Peay*-0.0
Florida_A&M 100 Johnson 91
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SIU-Edwardsville*-0.0
UTEP 81 Wake_Forest 103
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Austin_Peay*+0.0
Louisiana-Lafayette 117 Panhandle_State 47
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee_State*-0.0
Auburn vs Eastern_KentuckyIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Eastern_Illinois3.9*3.83.94.0
Eastern_Kentucky5.6*5.6*5.55.5
Friday
SIU-Edwardsville vs SthnIllinoisIf winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Tennessee_State4.0*4.0*3.93.9
SIU-Edwardsville9.0*9.09.19.1
Austin_Peay8.2*8.2*8.18.1
Bradley vs SE_Missouri_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
SE_Missouri_State4.8*4.8*4.64.7
Northern_Kentucky vs Austin_PeayHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Austin_Peay8.2*8.2*8.18.1
TCU vs Jacksonville_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Belmont*9.09.0*8.89.1
Jacksonville vs Youngstown_StateHomeHome OTAway OTAway
100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville_State*9.59.69.5*9.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.