How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)*-1.5
-0.1
Missouri 82 Xavier 83 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Stetson vs Citadel-0.8*-0.5+3.2+1.4
-0.0*-0.0+0.1+0.0
Lipscomb vs St_Peters+0.4*+1.5*-2.9-1.9
+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lipscomb finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-021.9%222625118234130,000
Total:21.9%222625118234130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title