How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Louisville 88 Long_Beach_State 56 *+0.1
USC-Upstate 57 UNC-Asheville 73 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Youngstown_State-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0
Baylor vs FGCU+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1
LSU vs North_Florida+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Kennesaw_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-03.8%433715242321130,000
Total:3.8%433715242321130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title