How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Lafayette 84 NJIT 83 (ot)+0.4
+0.1
Missouri 82 Xavier 83 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Jacksonville vs Youngstown_State*-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jacksonville_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-00.2%0001495814212217130,000
Total:0.2%0001495814212217130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title