How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Villanova 76 Western_Michigan 65 *-0.1
UMass 70 Temple 67 *-0.0
Arizona_State 63 Northern_Iowa 82 *-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Illinois finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-06.8%78106371110636107740,000
Total:6.8%78106371110636107740,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title