How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
USF 61 Elon 74 *-0.1
*-0.0
Savannah_State 101 Middle_Georgia_State 93 *+0.1
Harvard 78 Fisher 51 *-0.0
UCF 86 Mississippi_State 61 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Arkansas-LR vs I_daho*-0.0*-0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Florida finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-013.8%141366131252686332130,000
Total:13.8%141366131252686332130,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title