"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Central_Michigan 107 Marygrove 58 *+0.0
Maryland 93 St_Marys_MD 45 *+0.0
Northern_Arizona 91 Benedictine 63 *-0.0
Oklahoma 89 Tulane 70 *-0.0
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Colorado vs Louisiana-Monroe*+0.3+3.3-3.2*-0.3
*+0.0+0.1-0.0*-0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the FDU finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.7%101091110101010101040,000
Total:9.7%101091110101010101040,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title