How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Georgetown 72 Arkansas_State 78 *-0.5
*-0.1
Hampton 70 Chowan 69 (ot)-0.2
Missouri 82 Xavier 83 (ot)+0.1
Buffalo 85 Nazareth 38 *-0.0
UCF 86 Mississippi_State 61 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
Kansas vs Siena*+0.1*+0.1+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Eastern_Illinois finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-014.2%1411111120031112111440,000
Total:14.2%1411111120031112111440,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title