How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance wins regular season title100.0*Average seed
UMass 70 Temple 67 *-0.2
Charlotte 76 East_Carolina 64 *-0.1
*-0.0
Louisiana-Lafayette 117 Panhandle_State 47 *-0.0
George_Washington 61 Arkansas-PB 41 *+0.0
Appalachian_State 119 Warren_Wilson 51 *+0.0
FridayNone

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the East_Tennessee_State finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-LChance wins regular season title123456789101112131415Count
00-09.9%1010111189121110940,000
Total:9.9%1010111189121110940,000
Games Above .500
Chance Will Win Regular Season Title